Methodology · Rubric AIS-1.1
The AutoMark Idea Score
One number from 0 to 100 that answers the question an investor asks first: is this worth building? It is built from seven pillars, each drawn from a framework founders and investors already use, scored by two independent AI analysts against fixed anchors.
How the score is made
- 1
Two analysts, independently
Anthropic and OpenAI models each assess the idea on their own, without seeing the other's answer.
- 2
Seven pillars, fixed anchors
Each pillar is scored 0–10 against the published descriptions below, with one line of evidence.
- 3
Weighted and scaled in code
Pillar scores are averaged across both analysts, weighted, and placed on the published AutoMark scale. The headline score is arithmetic, not a model's opinion.
- 4
Agreement reported
We publish how closely the two analysts agreed. A high-agreement score is more reliable than a split one.
Weighted sum = Σ (pillar weight × pillar score ÷ 10), pillar score = mean of both analysts. Idea Score = AutoMark scale (weighted sum).
The AutoMark scale
At the idea stage, even excellent concepts rarely earn more than 7 out of 10 on moat or distribution, because neither exists yet. The weighted sum of the strongest ideas therefore tops out in the 60s. The scale maps that real spread onto 0–100, so the strongest ideas reach the high 80s and weak ones stay low. Between the points below the score is interpolated linearly.
0 → 020 → 2232 → 4045 → 6055 → 7462 → 8568 → 9280 → 97100 → 100
The seven pillars
Problem & demand
Weight 20%Jobs-to-be-Done · pain frequency × intensity
Is there a frequent, painful job that people already pay or hack around to get done?
- 0–2
- nice-to-have, rare pain, nobody pays today
- 3–4
- real but occasional pain, weak workarounds
- 5–6
- frequent pain, people hack around it
- 7–8
- frequent, costly pain with money already spent on alternatives
- 9–10
- hair-on-fire, budget exists, buyers actively searching
Market size
Weight 15%TAM / SAM / SOM, bottom-up
Is the reachable market large enough to build a venture-scale business?
- 0–2
- SAM < $10M
- 3–4
- SAM $10-100M
- 5–6
- SAM $100M-1B
- 7–8
- SAM $1-10B
- 9–10
- SAM > $10B and growing
Competition & moat
Weight 15%Porter's Five Forces · Helmer's 7 Powers
Can it win against incumbents and defend the position once it does?
- 0–2
- commodity against funded incumbents, no power available
- 3–4
- crowded, differentiation is features only
- 5–6
- a credible wedge, one power reachable later
- 7–8
- clear wedge plus a specific power the plan reaches within 2-3 years (proprietary data loop, workflow switching costs, network effects)
- 9–10
- structural power incumbents cannot copy
Business model
Weight 15%Unit economics · LTV:CAC ≥ 3, CAC payback < 12 months
Does each customer earn back what it costs to acquire and serve them?
- 0–2
- LTV:CAC < 1 or negative gross margin
- 3–4
- LTV:CAC 1-2, payback > 24 months
- 5–6
- LTV:CAC 2-3, payback 12-24 months
- 7–8
- LTV:CAC 3-5, payback 6-12 months, gross margin > 60%
- 9–10
- LTV:CAC > 5, payback < 6 months, gross margin > 75%
Distribution
Weight 15%Traction channels (Bullseye) · Thiel's power-law of distribution
Is there one repeatable, affordable channel to the first 1,000 customers?
- 0–2
- no identifiable channel
- 3–4
- only paid ads at uncertain CAC
- 5–6
- one plausible owned or community channel
- 7–8
- a specific, proven channel for this exact buyer (named communities, partners, embedded or B2B2C distribution, marketplaces) or built-in virality
- 9–10
- viral loop or embedded distribution (marketplace liquidity, product-led sharing)
Timing
Weight 10%“Why now?” · Idealab timing factor
Has something changed recently that makes this possible or necessary now?
- 0–2
- too early or too late
- 3–4
- no clear trigger
- 5–6
- helpful tailwind
- 7–8
- a recent shift (technology cost, regulation, behaviour) makes it newly possible
- 9–10
- a window that is opening now and will close
Execution feasibility
Weight 10%Build complexity · time to MVP · regulatory exposure
Can a small team ship a credible v1 quickly without a regulatory wall?
- 0–2
- regulatory wall or deep-tech R&D
- 3–4
- heavy integrations, licences or hardware
- 5–6
- standard SaaS or app, 3-6 months to MVP
- 7–8
- MVP in 4-8 weeks with modern AI-assisted tooling
- 9–10
- MVP in days
Grades
A85–100Venture-grade
B+75–84Strong
B65–74Promising
C55–64Needs work
D40–54High risk
E0–39Not yet viable
The score judges an idea's potential if a capable team executes it well, so an early idea is not penalised for traction it cannot have yet. It is strict about real weaknesses: small markets, crowded categories with no wedge, weak willingness to pay and no route to customers. A typical idea lands in C or D; only large, painful, well-timed markets with a clear wedge reach A. Every report includes the moves that would raise the score.
Certificates and verification
Every report issues a certificate with a unique number and a verification code: a cryptographic signature of the certificate's contents. Anyone can open the verification page printed on the certificate and check the score, grade and code against our records. Certificates are kept for five years. Rankings, where shown, compare the idea with every idea assessed before it.
Limits
The score assesses the idea as described, using public knowledge available to the models. It does not see the founder, the team, private traction or customer data, and it cannot predict results. It is not investment, legal or financial advice. Treat it as a structured, independent second opinion and a checklist of what investors will probe.